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Open access
Autor(in)
Datum
2011-05Typ
- Working Paper
ETH Bibliographie
yes
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Abstract
This study presents a model that delivers more accurate forecasts of the revised rather initial estimates of the quarterly GDP growth rate in Switzerland during the period of the recent financial crisis. The key explanation to our findings is that our model, capitalizing on the information contained in the Business Tendency Surveys, is able to predict future revisions of the initial estimates. Our findings imply that there seems to be a scope for improvement of how preliminary estimates of the quarterly GDP growth rate are produced in Switzerland. Mehr anzeigen
Persistenter Link
https://doi.org/10.3929/ethz-a-006499473Publikationsstatus
publishedZeitschrift / Serie
KOF Working PapersBand
Verlag
KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH ZurichThema
ECONOMETRICS AND ECONOMETRIC MODELS (OPERATIONS RESEARCH); GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT; BRUTTONATIONALEINKOMMEN; SCHWEIZ (MITTELEUROPA). SCHWEIZERISCHE EIDGENOSSENSCHAFT; SWITZERLAND (CENTRAL EUROPE). SWISS CONFEDERATION; ÖKONOMETRIE UND ÖKONOMETRISCHE MODELLE (OPERATIONS RESEARCH); WIRTSCHAFTSPROGNOSEN; GDP revisions; Mixed-frequency data; Forecasting; Factor model; ECONOMIC FORECASTSOrganisationseinheit
02525 - KOF Konjunkturforschungsstelle / KOF Swiss Economic Institute
ETH Bibliographie
yes
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